I was asked for a specific prediction on the 2016 US election, to provide a clear benchmark to measure against. Fair enough. Here’s my stake in the ground:
Democrat: 333 electoral votes
Republican: 205 electoral votes
This was arrived at with a sophisticated system of intuition-seeded random-ass guess, so I’m not interested in debating details. Honestly, I just want this whole thing to be over so we can get on with our lives.
“And how does this election affect you, an expat American in Canada?” A lot more than you think. There’s an awful lot of discussion about closing borders, repealing NAFTA, changing overseas voting rights. It matters, guys.
Also, the climate thing. Let’s say 3 years as a benchmark for when we stop debating whether climate change exist and finally join forces trying to fix it.
By the way, the planet is also round.